[
  {
    "rank": 1,
    "id": "gap-01",
    "subject": "Hour-by-hour hydro topology and commercial access",
    "materiality": "Can materially increase backup energy and peak power.20 regulator-confirmed complexes now transcribed, but physical topology, head-dependent power, water rights, unit outages and opportunity prices are not assembled into dispatch.",
    "access": "Public annex and plant reports plus commercial/private terms",
    "recommendation": "Use aggregate model as optimistic bound; retain75%energy/80%power sensitivity. Do not claim the national store is freely dispatchable.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 2,
    "id": "gap-02",
    "subject": "2050 peak-demand calibration and combined stresses",
    "materiality": "Two-unit/LTO programme is not sufficient in the current screen. Cold-heating assumptions, coincidence, weather conversion, imports and equipment adoption control the result.",
    "access": "Further public analysis possible; building-level data partly restricted",
    "recommendation": "Retain hourly results as conditional screens. Prioritise stock-weighted heating calibration and simultaneous heat/import/outage stresses before specifying final backup build size.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 3,
    "id": "gap-03",
    "subject": "Swiss reactor offers, sites and delivery slots",
    "materiality": "Can change number, size, dates and owner cost. Neither supplier pipeline nor old dossiers provides a Swiss contract.",
    "access": "Private/project-specific; no actual competitive Swiss tender exists in archive",
    "recommendation": "Develop2-unit programme now; gate investment on binding scopes, guarantees, reference design and independent schedule. Keep1/0by2050 and LTO-loss alternatives.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 4,
    "id": "gap-04",
    "subject": "Firm import delivery in regional shortage",
    "materiality": "Reducing imports from2to1or0GW sharply increases deficits. Cross-border transfer capability does not prove exporter energy or priority rights.",
    "access": "Public adequacy studies; firm contract and stress terms private",
    "recommendation": "Use2/1/0GW scenarios, no claim2GWsecured. Tender named delivery points, coincident scarcity terms and alternate fuel supply.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 5,
    "id": "gap-05",
    "subject": "Heating-stock and transport trajectories",
    "materiality": "Sample heat-pump measurements do not establish national winter performance. EV stock and road energy are now tied, but km, PHEV share, foreign traffic and domestic charging remain assumptions.",
    "access": "Public stock surveys and data extraction can improve this",
    "recommendation": "Use whole-fleet sensitivities and measured cold efficiency bands; do not count reduced EV adoption as equal electrification progress.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 6,
    "id": "gap-06",
    "subject": "Fuel logistics and ordinary-market thermal permissions",
    "materiality": "HVO and gas can be unavailable during common shocks.16daysstock and10weeksresupply are future reserve contract requirements, not proof of4.2TWh delivery.",
    "access": "Public rule/permit evidence plus private logistics and supply offers",
    "recommendation": "Require stock certificates, sustainable-feedstock proof, delivery throughput and permitted operating hours before credit. Mark ordinary winter use separately from emergency reserve.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 7,
    "id": "gap-07",
    "subject": "Nuclear owner terms and uninsured tail",
    "materiality": "Insurance premium, exclusions by plant, finance guarantees, EPC risk caps and fuel contracts remain private. A legal coverage amount does not price tail risk.",
    "access": "Accepted private gaps; do not repeat previous insurance/Beznau searches",
    "recommendation": "Use explicit budget assumptions and capped policy examples; uninsured liability and expected public loss remain unpriced, not zero.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 8,
    "id": "gap-08",
    "subject": "Attributable grid and workforce plan",
    "materiality": "No current Swiss two-reactor connection study, skills census or peak staffing plan is available in this package.",
    "access": "Project-specific engineering with public grid inputs",
    "recommendation": "Start2027studies and training. Carry5%grid allowance with2–15%sensitivity; do not substitute the entire national grid investment plan.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 9,
    "id": "gap-09",
    "subject": "Post2030 data centres and joint demand calibration",
    "materiality": "A3.2TWh2050floor is not a forecast. The10TWhsensitivity increases deficits; sector/end-use allocation remains uncertain.",
    "access": "Public forecast updates and load applications may improve it",
    "recommendation": "Use3.2central floor only to preserve comparability; publish5/10TWhsensitivities and disclose embedded2.34TWh subtraction.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  },
  {
    "rank": 10,
    "id": "gap-10",
    "subject": "Full equivalent-system economics and reliability",
    "materiality": "No probability-weighted outage model, nodal transmission model or optimised equal-reliability technology comparison is claimed.",
    "access": "Requires additional model work and public/contract inputs",
    "recommendation": "Use these plant cashflows and service budgets for decisions. Do not publish a national total, household tariff, zero-blackout claim or technology winner from them.",
    "status": "unresolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-18"
  }
]