{ "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02", "cases": [ { "id": "2012-import0-battery40", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.09320466727, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332372, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 13271.801327688212, "unserved_gwh": 8412.025657295155, "curtailment_gwh": 11122.509132409437, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 412.188844854502, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 329.7510758836016, "limmern_charge_gwh": 449.3582014801722, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 359.4865611841377, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 204.96818959887398, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 163.97455167909874, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 186.39105797539693, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 149.11284638031765, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 4986.970659237484, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 4238.925060351861, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 1316.519991433448, "winter_unserved_gwh": 8388.55949423304, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 78.95489260388618, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -1316.519991433448, "peak_unserved_gw": 5.734432211950068, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2012-import0-lake240", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "lake240", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-lake240-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-lake240-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.09320466731, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332372, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15399.12138402683, "unserved_gwh": 11534.31283539549, "curtailment_gwh": 12586.362382493948, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 877.1132229894511, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 701.6905783915607, "limmern_charge_gwh": 984.8053562133746, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 787.8442849707, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 400.5244501278226, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 320.4195601022573, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 386.26061739265185, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 309.0084939141219, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3123.6199609673586, "winter_unserved_gwh": 10784.308574258052, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1148.5421401040162, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3123.6199609673586, "peak_unserved_gw": 8.147613700810961, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "lake": "240 GWh extra pooled natural-water capacity; unchanged October stock, inflow and turbines. Capability sensitivity, not a Grimselsee dispatch forecast." } }, { "id": "2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "no-new-pv20-battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 19731.96399999963, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 14676.672176967826, "unserved_gwh": 14989.959168506273, "curtailment_gwh": 18706.404885522956, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 554.8449459017327, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 443.87595672138616, "limmern_charge_gwh": 627.0596813958308, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 501.6477451166646, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 277.85423014138837, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 222.28338411311034, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 250.08204742273625, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 200.06563793818907, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 6361.138856681724, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 5406.968028179464, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 2221.9053057815354, "winter_unserved_gwh": 14408.445769181893, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 722.1956819376913, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -2221.9053057815354, "peak_unserved_gw": 6.859305053040621, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "pv_added_gwp": 20, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed.", "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2012-import0-pv10", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "pv10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-pv10-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-pv10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17281.736308507156, "natural_spill_gwh": 2450.227691492504, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 17052.42382982961, "unserved_gwh": 10738.019893915181, "curtailment_gwh": 18762.926123368907, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1000.3351762883524, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 800.2681410306818, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1100.994149488446, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 880.7953195907569, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 458.8183769080616, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 367.05470152644864, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 427.12194158953344, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 341.69755327162716, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3869.071636984716, "winter_unserved_gwh": 10074.496888937509, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 2165.638261546443, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3869.071636984716, "peak_unserved_gw": 8.147613700810961, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "pv_added_gwp": 10, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed." } }, { "id": "2012-import0-reference", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "reference", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-reference-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-reference-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.09320466731, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332372, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15399.12138402683, "unserved_gwh": 11534.31283539549, "curtailment_gwh": 12586.362382493948, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 877.1132229894511, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 701.6905783915607, "limmern_charge_gwh": 984.8053562133746, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 787.8442849707, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 400.5244501278226, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 320.4195601022573, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 386.26061739265185, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 309.0084939141219, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3123.6199609673586, "winter_unserved_gwh": 10784.308574258052, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1148.5421401040162, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3123.6199609673586, "peak_unserved_gw": 8.147613700810961, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995 } }, { "id": "2012-import0-third-summer", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "third-summer", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-third-summer-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-third-summer-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16144.217449155985, "natural_spill_gwh": 3587.7465508436876, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 16755.848722745308, "unserved_gwh": 7097.396067752762, "curtailment_gwh": 14043.89812537235, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 958.5058022525068, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 766.8046418020054, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1054.3677504512023, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 843.494200360962, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 457.93148811306287, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 366.3451904904492, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 417.5805821518846, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 334.06446572150816, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3532.4183154670955, "winter_unserved_gwh": 6812.039139808859, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1425.1104765734199, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3532.4183154670955, "peak_unserved_gw": 7.069613700810959, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "addition": "Third 1.1 GW unit; 98% outside maintenance; 30-day stop from day 156, entirely in summer." } }, { "id": "2012-import0-winter1", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "winter1", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import0-winter1-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import0-winter1-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.093204667322, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332372, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15775.990494082653, "unserved_gwh": 7830.619765667729, "curtailment_gwh": 12841.903940094311, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 964.5607333449803, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 771.6485866759842, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1072.8903105212316, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 858.3122484169854, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 460.0845971099541, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 368.0676776879623, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 430.64931882744935, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 344.51945506195983, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3500.489071023181, "winter_unserved_gwh": 7104.356478937421, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1404.0836977043796, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3500.489071023181, "peak_unserved_gw": 7.147613700810962, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "winter_service": "1 GW additional generation available every winter hour; perfectly reliable contracted service assumption. Unused generation may be curtailed. Fuel and permissions are not established." } }, { "id": "2012-import2-battery40", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.09320466731, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332373, "imports_gwh": 7550.857181885714, "exports_gwh": 13271.801327688212, "unserved_gwh": 1050.8072457738963, "curtailment_gwh": 11122.509132409437, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 484.9106603420774, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 387.92852827366187, "limmern_charge_gwh": 535.4769411267689, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 428.38155290141503, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 310.4759466091588, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 248.38075728732613, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 247.34115628378325, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 197.87292502702698, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 5817.497914397012, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 4944.87322723746, "winter_imports_gwh": 7527.3910188236005, "winter_exports_gwh": 1316.519991433448, "winter_unserved_gwh": 1050.8072457738963, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 78.95489260388618, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 6210.871027390152, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.0762742357466477, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2012-import2-dc10", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "dc10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-dc10-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-dc10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 19085.911733959976, "natural_spill_gwh": 646.052266039728, "imports_gwh": 8471.101430909961, "exports_gwh": 14489.485624672288, "unserved_gwh": 6700.008605162516, "curtailment_gwh": 11352.938921464729, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1025.189014785317, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 820.1512118282536, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1139.6045477397965, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 911.6836381918372, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 501.16477358655004, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 400.9318188692387, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 450.90729642122494, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 360.72583713698054, "winter_imports_gwh": 7561.294212640259, "winter_exports_gwh": 2839.6069233011303, "winter_unserved_gwh": 6452.8331117860635, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 963.0121848222417, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4721.687289339128, "peak_unserved_gw": 6.971161350309083, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "data_center": { "total_twh": 10.0, "increment_above_reference_twh": 6.8, "shape": "flat every hour", "baseline_total_twh": 3.2, "embedded_baseline_twh": 2.34, "grid_loss_factor": 1.0638297872340425 } } }, { "id": "2012-import2-dc5", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "dc5", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-dc5-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-dc5-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17939.763012714506, "natural_spill_gwh": 1792.2009872852116, "imports_gwh": 8290.830359506772, "exports_gwh": 15140.36005941358, "unserved_gwh": 4299.311602072327, "curtailment_gwh": 12260.271963173469, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1077.9265653204504, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 862.3412522563603, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1195.0555909948343, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 956.0444727958679, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 523.3839868918407, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 418.70718951347146, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 489.62280923241553, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 391.698247385933, "winter_imports_gwh": 7465.719311543953, "winter_exports_gwh": 3046.014141850223, "winter_unserved_gwh": 4274.367457658698, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1096.8603406988195, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4419.705169693731, "peak_unserved_gw": 6.365611608031053, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "data_center": { "total_twh": 5.0, "increment_above_reference_twh": 1.7999999999999998, "shape": "flat every hour", "baseline_total_twh": 3.2, "embedded_baseline_twh": 2.34, "grid_loss_factor": 1.0638297872340425 } } }, { "id": "2012-import2-lake240", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "lake240", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-lake240-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-lake240-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.09320466735, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332373, "imports_gwh": 8148.593515246708, "exports_gwh": 15399.12138402683, "unserved_gwh": 3515.436568772666, "curtailment_gwh": 12586.362382493948, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1070.5100683186133, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 856.4080546548907, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1205.0706744341846, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 964.0565395473477, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 523.472675372382, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 418.77814029790477, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 498.23647171773814, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 398.5891773741913, "winter_imports_gwh": 7407.914862932963, "winter_exports_gwh": 3123.6199609673586, "winter_unserved_gwh": 3515.436568772666, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1148.5421401040162, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4284.294901965604, "peak_unserved_gw": 6.147613700810962, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "lake": "240 GWh extra pooled natural-water capacity; unchanged October stock, inflow and turbines. Capability sensitivity, not a Grimselsee dispatch forecast." } }, { "id": "2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "no-new-pv20-battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 19731.963999999658, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8429.359325321384, "exports_gwh": 14676.672176967826, "unserved_gwh": 6719.037948821796, "curtailment_gwh": 18706.404885522963, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 637.8793771048662, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 510.30350168389293, "limmern_charge_gwh": 710.4534960581411, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 568.3627968465129, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 314.0844935158881, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 251.26759481270983, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 292.27379993507594, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 233.81903994806106, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 7090.925878591513, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 6027.286996802786, "winter_imports_gwh": 7825.629715618777, "winter_exports_gwh": 2221.9053057815354, "winter_unserved_gwh": 6719.037948821796, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 722.1956819376913, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 5603.724409837241, "peak_unserved_gw": 4.069087714217041, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "pv_added_gwp": 20, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed.", "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2012-import2-pv10", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "pv10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-pv10-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-pv10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17281.73630850721, "natural_spill_gwh": 2450.227691492504, "imports_gwh": 7820.300195448026, "exports_gwh": 17052.42382982961, "unserved_gwh": 3032.297501199077, "curtailment_gwh": 18762.926123368907, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1156.0061491042532, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 924.8049192834025, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1309.7998138816465, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1047.8398511053174, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 559.5979653377623, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 447.67837227020925, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 534.7547296105975, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 427.8037836884786, "winter_imports_gwh": 7154.767068445144, "winter_exports_gwh": 3869.071636984716, "winter_unserved_gwh": 3032.297501199077, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 2165.638261546443, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3285.695431460428, "peak_unserved_gw": 6.147613700810962, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "pv_added_gwp": 10, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed." } }, { "id": "2012-import2-reference", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "reference", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-reference-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-reference-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.09320466735, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332373, "imports_gwh": 8148.593515246708, "exports_gwh": 15399.12138402683, "unserved_gwh": 3515.436568772666, "curtailment_gwh": 12586.362382493948, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1070.5100683186133, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 856.4080546548907, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1205.0706744341846, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 964.0565395473477, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 523.472675372382, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 418.77814029790477, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 498.23647171773814, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 398.5891773741913, "winter_imports_gwh": 7407.914862932963, "winter_exports_gwh": 3123.6199609673586, "winter_unserved_gwh": 3515.436568772666, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1148.5421401040162, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4284.294901965604, "peak_unserved_gw": 6.147613700810962, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995 } }, { "id": "2012-import2-third-summer", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "third-summer", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-third-summer-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-third-summer-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16144.217449156018, "natural_spill_gwh": 3587.7465508436876, "imports_gwh": 7009.15113172752, "exports_gwh": 16755.848722745308, "unserved_gwh": 201.1985511615597, "curtailment_gwh": 14043.89812537235, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1137.798969076574, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 910.2391752612593, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1262.3305510727628, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1009.8644408582103, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 553.3590531587862, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 442.6872425270276, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 499.6651253422692, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 399.7321002738163, "winter_imports_gwh": 6705.46578349206, "winter_exports_gwh": 3532.4183154670955, "winter_unserved_gwh": 201.1985511615597, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1425.1104765734199, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3173.0474680249645, "peak_unserved_gw": 5.069613600810959, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "addition": "Third 1.1 GW unit; 98% outside maintenance; 30-day stop from day 156, entirely in summer." } }, { "id": "2012-import2-winter1", "weather_year": 2012, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "winter1", "claims": { "annual": "review-2012-import2-winter1-annual", "peak": "review-2012-import2-winter1-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 17538.093204667355, "natural_spill_gwh": 2193.870795332373, "imports_gwh": 7798.823736140391, "exports_gwh": 15775.990494082653, "unserved_gwh": 207.23222980957118, "curtailment_gwh": 12841.903940094311, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1219.328111739691, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 975.4624893917527, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1375.564148331456, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1100.451318665165, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 627.6105732755763, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 502.08845862045916, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 582.863127868226, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 466.29050229458204, "winter_imports_gwh": 7094.23551756241, "winter_exports_gwh": 3500.489071023181, "winter_unserved_gwh": 207.23222980957118, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1404.0836977043796, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3593.7464465392286, "peak_unserved_gw": 5.147613600810962, "natural_initial_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 6913.0599999999995, "winter_service": "1 GW additional generation available every winter hour; perfectly reliable contracted service assumption. Unused generation may be curtailed. Fuel and permissions are not established." } }, { "id": "2017-import0-battery40", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999495, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 13785.877631331625, "unserved_gwh": 9958.005742055791, "curtailment_gwh": 10299.104597864409, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 341.263163974112, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 273.0105311792896, "limmern_charge_gwh": 396.2189831822452, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 316.97518654579625, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 191.84775805662787, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 153.47820644530213, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 190.15202029202356, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 152.12161623361885, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 5311.278399041098, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 4514.586639184933, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 1001.4623121423482, "winter_unserved_gwh": 9958.005742055791, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 51.32653920468816, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -1001.4623121423482, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.8232264262767863, "natural_initial_gwh": 7094.51630522403, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2017-import0-lake240", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "lake240", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-lake240-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-lake240-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999626, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15187.254217931459, "unserved_gwh": 12651.131925640926, "curtailment_gwh": 11932.180840806084, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1163.8828019961215, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 931.1062415968972, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1238.3473624034748, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 990.67788992278, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 497.9767099908271, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 398.38136799266084, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 496.10062061417176, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 396.88049649133745, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 2640.9863489646523, "winter_unserved_gwh": 12002.156499324086, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 842.7639655835145, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -2640.9863489646523, "peak_unserved_gw": 4.99299641506055, "natural_initial_gwh": 7077.3460384645805, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "lake": "240 GWh extra pooled natural-water capacity; unchanged October stock, inflow and turbines. Capability sensitivity, not a Grimselsee dispatch forecast." } }, { "id": "2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "no-new-pv20-battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999568, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 14527.250497371511, "unserved_gwh": 16252.342470817366, "curtailment_gwh": 16091.330377934302, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 569.4503308655809, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 455.5602646924648, "limmern_charge_gwh": 648.2891277694196, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 518.6313022155357, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 279.60283133911685, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 223.6822650712933, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 254.78380436351983, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 203.82704349081578, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 9259.383238922532, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 7870.475753084152, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 1587.6801876144423, "winter_unserved_gwh": 15892.319293928267, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 568.9471257499947, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -1587.6801876144423, "peak_unserved_gw": 5.826296787048858, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "pv_added_gwp": 20, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed.", "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2017-import0-pv10", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "pv10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-pv10-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-pv10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999597, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 16751.390199820155, "unserved_gwh": 11779.846568932408, "curtailment_gwh": 18651.676466028177, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1095.6003057507692, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 876.4802446006153, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1248.4572455437858, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 998.7657964350287, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 511.4122327313999, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 409.12978618511966, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 496.8690846241667, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 397.4952676993335, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3333.6818413363794, "winter_unserved_gwh": 11221.546221260502, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1631.72979257469, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3333.6818413363794, "peak_unserved_gw": 4.982176990129326, "natural_initial_gwh": 7112.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "pv_added_gwp": 10, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed." } }, { "id": "2017-import0-reference", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "reference", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-reference-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-reference-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999626, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15187.254217931459, "unserved_gwh": 12651.131925640926, "curtailment_gwh": 11932.180840806084, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1163.8828019961215, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 931.1062415968972, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1238.3473624034748, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 990.67788992278, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 497.9767099908271, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 398.38136799266084, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 496.10062061417176, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 396.88049649133745, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 2640.9863489646523, "winter_unserved_gwh": 12002.156499324086, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 842.7639655835145, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -2640.9863489646523, "peak_unserved_gw": 4.99299641506055, "natural_initial_gwh": 7077.3460384645805, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12 } }, { "id": "2017-import0-third-summer", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "third-summer", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-third-summer-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-third-summer-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16092.202614666065, "natural_spill_gwh": 850.3733853335909, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 16371.64574986658, "unserved_gwh": 8123.874657731627, "curtailment_gwh": 14146.769798655747, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 935.9963420813388, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 748.7970736650711, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1048.1571920499662, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 838.5257536399729, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 457.45597657113217, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 365.9647812569051, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 407.24226916395753, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 325.7938153311661, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3030.1268857062087, "winter_unserved_gwh": 7958.213183475422, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1056.779439419179, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3030.1268857062087, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.9149964150605503, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "addition": "Third 1.1 GW unit; 98% outside maintenance; 30-day stop from day 156, entirely in summer." } }, { "id": "2017-import0-winter1", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "winter1", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import0-winter1-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import0-winter1-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999637, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15545.493684211004, "unserved_gwh": 8893.508214888197, "curtailment_gwh": 12129.690877316581, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1204.7548885341716, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 963.8039108273374, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1369.682748376348, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1095.7461987010786, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 560.9807831400841, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 448.7846265120662, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 534.023007240231, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 427.21840579218474, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 2999.2258152441964, "winter_unserved_gwh": 8271.199396899825, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1040.274002093996, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -2999.2258152441964, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.9929964150605497, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "winter_service": "1 GW additional generation available every winter hour; perfectly reliable contracted service assumption. Unused generation may be curtailed. Fuel and permissions are not established." } }, { "id": "2017-import2-battery40", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999455, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7576.025547522939, "exports_gwh": 13785.877631331625, "unserved_gwh": 2575.0755661356143, "curtailment_gwh": 10300.47251659794, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 463.609482401002, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 370.8875859208017, "limmern_charge_gwh": 521.5974570906662, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 417.277965672533, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 244.0045638739215, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 195.20365109913678, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 221.32540036999103, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 177.06032029599288, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 6148.054780528265, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 5225.846563449025, "winter_imports_gwh": 7576.025547522939, "winter_exports_gwh": 1001.4623121423482, "winter_unserved_gwh": 2575.0755661356143, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 51.32653920468816, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 6574.56323538059, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.4924374968520588, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2017-import2-dc10", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "dc10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-dc10-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-dc10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999608, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8594.441300930985, "exports_gwh": 13997.141381763413, "unserved_gwh": 7727.159753970639, "curtailment_gwh": 9074.054503512807, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1881.0746015226255, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1504.8596812181008, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2171.1175855085876, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1736.8940684068707, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 891.2167244726984, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 712.9733795781553, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 876.2273311532791, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 700.981864922625, "winter_imports_gwh": 7667.061828740767, "winter_exports_gwh": 2375.5682853229455, "winter_unserved_gwh": 7604.776875385288, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 701.8046506058836, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 5291.4935434178215, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.8188003594888014, "natural_initial_gwh": 7086.503005980257, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "data_center": { "total_twh": 10.0, "increment_above_reference_twh": 6.8, "shape": "flat every hour", "baseline_total_twh": 3.2, "embedded_baseline_twh": 2.34, "grid_loss_factor": 1.0638297872340425 } } }, { "id": "2017-import2-dc5", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "dc5", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-dc5-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-dc5-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.57599999963, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8292.03867983708, "exports_gwh": 14949.31549263226, "unserved_gwh": 5404.406361572303, "curtailment_gwh": 11095.555739951527, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1553.978339163898, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1243.1826713311184, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1524.10478201664, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1219.283825613312, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 677.1443214453648, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 541.7154571562905, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 665.996676883406, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 532.7973415067258, "winter_imports_gwh": 7540.041292177504, "winter_exports_gwh": 2570.0540705971566, "winter_unserved_gwh": 5404.406361572302, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 802.4945936842761, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4969.987221580348, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.2115915768209686, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "data_center": { "total_twh": 5.0, "increment_above_reference_twh": 1.7999999999999998, "shape": "flat every hour", "baseline_total_twh": 3.2, "embedded_baseline_twh": 2.34, "grid_loss_factor": 1.0638297872340425 } } }, { "id": "2017-import2-lake240", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "lake240", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-lake240-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-lake240-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999593, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8119.621564567218, "exports_gwh": 15187.254217931459, "unserved_gwh": 4643.299394021515, "curtailment_gwh": 11932.180840806077, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1307.7780445791045, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1046.2224356632835, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1422.4277352804343, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1137.9421882243475, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 667.1287435326865, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 533.7029948261484, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 557.9181363513042, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 446.33450908104373, "winter_imports_gwh": 7469.37597718659, "winter_exports_gwh": 2640.9863489646523, "winter_unserved_gwh": 4643.299394021515, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 842.7639655835145, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4828.3896282219375, "peak_unserved_gw": 2.9929964150605497, "natural_initial_gwh": 7110.665044336087, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "lake": "240 GWh extra pooled natural-water capacity; unchanged October stock, inflow and turbines. Capability sensitivity, not a Grimselsee dispatch forecast." } }, { "id": "2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "no-new-pv20-battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999535, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8246.055400719895, "exports_gwh": 14527.250497371511, "unserved_gwh": 8167.09842601711, "curtailment_gwh": 16091.33037793432, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 674.3313458326217, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 539.4650766660973, "limmern_charge_gwh": 732.4216407736913, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 585.9373126189529, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 325.78747848698225, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 260.6299827895855, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 297.2320206519795, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 237.7856165215838, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 9961.263756509597, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 8467.074193033157, "winter_imports_gwh": 7876.071670555942, "winter_exports_gwh": 1587.6801876144423, "winter_unserved_gwh": 8167.09842601711, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 568.9471257499947, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 6288.391482941499, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.4483087600025506, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "pv_added_gwp": 20, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed.", "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2017-import2-pv10", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "pv10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-pv10-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-pv10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.57599999955, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7772.3298475131405, "exports_gwh": 16751.390199820155, "unserved_gwh": 4110.159734828412, "curtailment_gwh": 18651.676466028155, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1254.0377829719423, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1003.2302263775538, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1440.5636458777012, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1152.4509167021613, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 618.0692238147217, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 494.4553790517762, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 552.8832830313386, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 442.3066264250712, "winter_imports_gwh": 7210.302059302878, "winter_exports_gwh": 3333.6818413363794, "winter_unserved_gwh": 4110.159734828412, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1631.72979257469, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3876.6202179664983, "peak_unserved_gw": 2.9821769901293256, "natural_initial_gwh": 7098.57771905849, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "pv_added_gwp": 10, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed." } }, { "id": "2017-import2-reference", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "reference", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-reference-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-reference-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999593, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8119.621564567218, "exports_gwh": 15187.254217931459, "unserved_gwh": 4643.299394021515, "curtailment_gwh": 11932.180840806077, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1307.7780445791045, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1046.2224356632835, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1422.4277352804343, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1137.9421882243475, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 667.1287435326865, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 533.7029948261484, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 557.9181363513042, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 446.33450908104373, "winter_imports_gwh": 7469.37597718659, "winter_exports_gwh": 2640.9863489646523, "winter_unserved_gwh": 4643.299394021515, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 842.7639655835145, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4828.3896282219375, "peak_unserved_gw": 2.9929964150605497, "natural_initial_gwh": 7110.665044336087, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12 } }, { "id": "2017-import2-third-summer", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "third-summer", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-third-summer-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-third-summer-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16092.202614665994, "natural_spill_gwh": 850.3733853335909, "imports_gwh": 7194.7039747282, "exports_gwh": 16371.64574986658, "unserved_gwh": 1072.1560961797068, "curtailment_gwh": 14146.769798655747, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1152.5059493491035, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 922.0047594792828, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1296.307797650859, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1037.0462381206871, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 573.6995712101716, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 458.9596569681358, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 541.2655275373081, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 433.0124220298469, "winter_imports_gwh": 7028.344912401501, "winter_exports_gwh": 3030.1268857062087, "winter_unserved_gwh": 1072.1560961797068, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1056.779439419179, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3998.218026695292, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.9149964150605505, "natural_initial_gwh": 7113.12, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "addition": "Third 1.1 GW unit; 98% outside maintenance; 30-day stop from day 156, entirely in summer." } }, { "id": "2017-import2-winter1", "weather_year": 2017, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "winter1", "claims": { "annual": "review-2017-import2-winter1-annual", "peak": "review-2017-import2-winter1-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 16942.575999999528, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7708.362092922569, "exports_gwh": 15545.493684211004, "unserved_gwh": 1323.4025337087553, "curtailment_gwh": 12129.690877316556, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1420.304371310445, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1136.2434970483562, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1580.4769867982773, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1264.381589438622, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 714.1843241793653, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 571.3474593434903, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 645.7578037179567, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 516.6062429743658, "winter_imports_gwh": 7060.916505541942, "winter_exports_gwh": 2999.2258152441964, "winter_unserved_gwh": 1323.4025337087553, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1040.274002093996, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4061.6906902977453, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.99299641506055, "natural_initial_gwh": 7077.12605432414, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7113.12, "winter_service": "1 GW additional generation available every winter hour; perfectly reliable contracted service assumption. Unused generation may be curtailed. Fuel and permissions are not established." } }, { "id": "2022-import0-battery40", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000248, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 13624.444366789765, "unserved_gwh": 7559.6062387195225, "curtailment_gwh": 9041.784395628614, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 360.84309507689846, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 288.67447606151876, "limmern_charge_gwh": 426.4168131331316, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 341.1334505065053, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 186.97860197637667, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 149.58288158110113, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 184.04265072793552, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 147.2341205823484, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 8421.150821353978, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 7157.978198150881, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 1217.8943949185461, "winter_unserved_gwh": 7444.3634360635915, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 58.662678376776185, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -1217.8943949185461, "peak_unserved_gw": 2.2669236965679174, "natural_initial_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2022-import0-lake240", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "lake240", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-lake240-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-lake240-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000322, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15128.974955272646, "unserved_gwh": 10677.259207869762, "curtailment_gwh": 10907.998092248998, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2003.5680369536592, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1602.8544295629276, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2289.1695289711906, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1831.3356231769524, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1029.5512139424532, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 823.6409711539585, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 886.3989172977504, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 709.1191338382023, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3385.150007358213, "winter_unserved_gwh": 10179.988488341518, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1094.1672932004371, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3385.150007358213, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.1177174478499223, "natural_initial_gwh": 7201.499409256217, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "lake": "240 GWh extra pooled natural-water capacity; unchanged October stock, inflow and turbines. Capability sensitivity, not a Grimselsee dispatch forecast." } }, { "id": "2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "no-new-pv20-battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000435, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15406.999510386355, "unserved_gwh": 13785.782889159216, "curtailment_gwh": 14977.090553569098, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 586.965996533738, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 469.57279722699036, "limmern_charge_gwh": 650.6062503692217, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 520.4850002953774, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 340.02566729619343, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 272.02053383695363, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 264.51296263909376, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 211.61037011127513, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 12361.940301723986, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 10507.649256465385, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 2307.612100748561, "winter_unserved_gwh": 13415.424624773159, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 622.120953459901, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -2307.612100748561, "peak_unserved_gw": 4.079799087805723, "natural_initial_gwh": 7157.190516422999, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "pv_added_gwp": 20, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed.", "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2022-import0-pv10", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "pv10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-pv10-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-pv10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000288, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 17548.48154386998, "unserved_gwh": 9944.062886717074, "curtailment_gwh": 17569.991988808764, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2000.9452025224282, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1600.7561620179426, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2163.9559921070695, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1731.1647936856552, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 981.8354744645641, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 785.4683795716467, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 872.9895373656225, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 698.3916298925013, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 4224.491976392497, "winter_unserved_gwh": 9530.072425507746, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 2162.8426000723002, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -4224.491976392497, "peak_unserved_gw": 2.9742579979577948, "natural_initial_gwh": 7168.56700479714, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "pv_added_gwp": 10, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed." } }, { "id": "2022-import0-reference", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "reference", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-reference-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-reference-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000322, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15128.974955272646, "unserved_gwh": 10677.259207869762, "curtailment_gwh": 10907.998092248998, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2003.5680369536592, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1602.8544295629276, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2289.1695289711906, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1831.3356231769524, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1029.5512139424532, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 823.6409711539585, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 886.3989172977504, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 709.1191338382023, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3385.150007358213, "winter_unserved_gwh": 10179.988488341518, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1094.1672932004371, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3385.150007358213, "peak_unserved_gw": 3.1177174478499223, "natural_initial_gwh": 7201.499409256217, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001 } }, { "id": "2022-import0-third-summer", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "third-summer", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-third-summer-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-third-summer-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.06400000026, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 17057.860993965158, "unserved_gwh": 6467.08708311313, "curtailment_gwh": 13836.776513211571, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1461.2669245273385, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1169.013539621871, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1496.028514246071, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1196.8228113968567, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 626.4659523014377, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 501.1727618411488, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 621.3433840313387, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 497.07470722507196, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3850.6478117178385, "winter_unserved_gwh": 6267.88258196419, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1378.875027544983, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3850.6478117178385, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.9689535301081513, "natural_initial_gwh": 7173.488923250442, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "addition": "Third 1.1 GW unit; 98% outside maintenance; 30-day stop from day 156, entirely in summer." } }, { "id": "2022-import0-winter1", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 0, "variant": "winter1", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import0-winter1-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import0-winter1-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.06400000037, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 0.0, "exports_gwh": 15558.923513596761, "unserved_gwh": 7047.541737489792, "curtailment_gwh": 11170.568908034118, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2116.719200870092, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1693.3753606960736, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2367.640943795838, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1894.112755036671, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1040.7036695272154, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 832.5629356217682, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 912.4396605261377, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 729.9517284209121, "winter_imports_gwh": 0.0, "winter_exports_gwh": 3815.0985656823223, "winter_unserved_gwh": 6570.566455881655, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1356.7381089855571, "winter_net_imports_gwh": -3815.0985656823223, "peak_unserved_gw": 2.75463352488503, "natural_initial_gwh": 7199.940147867588, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 0, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "winter_service": "1 GW additional generation available every winter hour; perfectly reliable contracted service assumption. Unused generation may be curtailed. Fuel and permissions are not established." } }, { "id": "2022-import2-battery40", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000315, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7705.88660469109, "exports_gwh": 13624.444366789765, "unserved_gwh": 0.0, "curtailment_gwh": 9041.784395628683, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 405.14831534530407, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 324.11865227624327, "limmern_charge_gwh": 461.76212189172077, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 369.40969751337667, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 206.06014327698554, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 164.84811462158822, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 203.6990358614104, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 162.95922868912834, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 9238.501987216316, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 7852.726689133868, "winter_imports_gwh": 7575.917991604079, "winter_exports_gwh": 1217.8943949185461, "winter_unserved_gwh": 0.0, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 58.662678376776185, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 6358.023596685533, "peak_unserved_gw": 0.0, "natural_initial_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2022-import2-dc10", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "dc10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-dc10-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-dc10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000228, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 9390.759251580026, "exports_gwh": 13657.132830665396, "unserved_gwh": 6105.378909024895, "curtailment_gwh": 9801.817164924409, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2318.919937541693, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1855.1359500333547, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2568.8659197900593, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 2055.0927358320478, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1109.7671683647486, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 887.8137346917957, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 1025.4319288456493, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 820.3455430765205, "winter_imports_gwh": 7395.525790343686, "winter_exports_gwh": 3056.4326152694703, "winter_unserved_gwh": 5924.437706406192, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 904.8362825012598, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4339.093175074216, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.8659085724398194, "natural_initial_gwh": 7048.6028174704825, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "data_center": { "total_twh": 10.0, "increment_above_reference_twh": 6.8, "shape": "flat every hour", "baseline_total_twh": 3.2, "embedded_baseline_twh": 2.34, "grid_loss_factor": 1.0638297872340425 } } }, { "id": "2022-import2-dc5", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "dc5", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-dc5-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-dc5-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.06400000038, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7816.46371224319, "exports_gwh": 14321.76637556111, "unserved_gwh": 3864.274604252418, "curtailment_gwh": 10603.536892879838, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2347.5512274490957, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1878.0409819592765, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2636.8212290305028, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 2109.4569832244024, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1160.3596566627539, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 928.2877253301984, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 1065.231937449332, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 852.1855499594669, "winter_imports_gwh": 7298.7954261343375, "winter_exports_gwh": 3296.3248411733775, "winter_unserved_gwh": 3775.837806815742, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1041.5345446732526, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 4002.47058496096, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.2134888313944492, "natural_initial_gwh": 7196.45087268315, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "data_center": { "total_twh": 5.0, "increment_above_reference_twh": 1.7999999999999998, "shape": "flat every hour", "baseline_total_twh": 3.2, "embedded_baseline_twh": 2.34, "grid_loss_factor": 1.0638297872340425 } } }, { "id": "2022-import2-lake240", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "lake240", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-lake240-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-lake240-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000319, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7700.096579001347, "exports_gwh": 15128.974955272628, "unserved_gwh": 3080.1825762670214, "curtailment_gwh": 10907.998092248998, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2139.6069690959434, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1711.685575276755, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2471.178241579465, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1976.9425932635727, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1117.780205930181, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 894.2241647441397, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 995.2220175525597, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 796.1776140420491, "winter_imports_gwh": 7262.94883024589, "winter_exports_gwh": 3385.150007358213, "winter_unserved_gwh": 3011.2560402497465, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1094.1672932004371, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3877.7988228876775, "peak_unserved_gw": 0.9767189510624927, "natural_initial_gwh": 7134.847622524822, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "lake": "240 GWh extra pooled natural-water capacity; unchanged October stock, inflow and turbines. Capability sensitivity, not a Grimselsee dispatch forecast." } }, { "id": "2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "no-new-pv20-battery40", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.06400000048, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 8098.194958909671, "exports_gwh": 15406.999510386355, "unserved_gwh": 5847.052290809242, "curtailment_gwh": 14977.09055356911, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 674.1111464776002, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 539.2889171820802, "limmern_charge_gwh": 804.9316477166103, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 643.9453181732883, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 341.88437230318397, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 273.5074978425465, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 303.9381270413157, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 243.1505016330528, "additional_battery_charge_gwh": 13048.03014985492, "additional_battery_discharge_gwh": 11090.825627376682, "winter_imports_gwh": 7784.150056242446, "winter_exports_gwh": 2307.612100748561, "winter_unserved_gwh": 5791.497015489773, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 622.120953459901, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 5476.537955493885, "peak_unserved_gw": 1.822030231132359, "natural_initial_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "pv_added_gwp": 20, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed.", "battery": "40 GWh AC deliverable, 10 GW, 85% round-trip efficiency; empty at both year boundaries, no free initial energy." } }, { "id": "2022-import2-pv10", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "pv10", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-pv10-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-pv10-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000295, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7435.602227827774, "exports_gwh": 17548.48154386998, "unserved_gwh": 2608.0233697901167, "curtailment_gwh": 17569.99198880876, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2177.152552986193, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1741.7220423889542, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2356.647327945978, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1885.3178623567826, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1060.7453297572974, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 848.596263805833, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 922.9945502743266, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 738.3956402194633, "winter_imports_gwh": 7073.007986242205, "winter_exports_gwh": 4224.491976392497, "winter_unserved_gwh": 2551.723634277423, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 2162.8426000723002, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 2848.516009849708, "peak_unserved_gw": 0.8377509056138277, "natural_initial_gwh": 7150.092979553879, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "pv_added_gwp": 10, "pv_shape": "Unchanged calibrated ordinary PV profile; no winter-orientation or site-mix improvement assumed." } }, { "id": "2022-import2-reference", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "reference", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-reference-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-reference-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000319, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7700.096579001347, "exports_gwh": 15128.974955272628, "unserved_gwh": 3080.1825762670214, "curtailment_gwh": 10907.998092248998, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2139.6069690959434, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1711.685575276755, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2471.178241579465, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1976.9425932635727, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1117.780205930181, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 894.2241647441397, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 995.2220175525597, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 796.1776140420491, "winter_imports_gwh": 7262.94883024589, "winter_exports_gwh": 3385.150007358213, "winter_unserved_gwh": 3011.2560402497465, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1094.1672932004371, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 3877.7988228876775, "peak_unserved_gw": 0.9767189510624927, "natural_initial_gwh": 7134.847622524822, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001 } }, { "id": "2022-import2-third-summer", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "third-summer", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-third-summer-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-third-summer-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000271, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 6467.087083113127, "exports_gwh": 17057.860993965158, "unserved_gwh": 0.0, "curtailment_gwh": 13836.776513211578, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 1140.7838836287403, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 912.6271069029922, "limmern_charge_gwh": 1640.0172247833907, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1312.0137798267128, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 749.7947001963339, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 599.8357601570649, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 674.508966497714, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 539.6071731981723, "winter_imports_gwh": 6266.361184999886, "winter_exports_gwh": 3850.6478117178385, "winter_unserved_gwh": 0.0, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1378.875027544983, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 2415.7133732820475, "peak_unserved_gw": 0.0, "natural_initial_gwh": 7137.826695946354, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "addition": "Third 1.1 GW unit; 98% outside maintenance; 30-day stop from day 156, entirely in summer." } }, { "id": "2022-import2-winter1", "weather_year": 2022, "import_gw": 2, "variant": "winter1", "claims": { "annual": "review-2022-import2-winter1-annual", "peak": "review-2022-import2-winter1-peak" }, "result": { "natural_release_gwh": 14708.064000000366, "natural_spill_gwh": 0.0, "imports_gwh": 7104.229342654259, "exports_gwh": 15558.923513596801, "unserved_gwh": 0.7546334248850304, "curtailment_gwh": 11170.568908034118, "nant_de_drance_charge_gwh": 2155.6205069167736, "nant_de_drance_discharge_gwh": 1724.4964055334185, "limmern_charge_gwh": 2451.449448438485, "limmern_discharge_gwh": 1961.1595587507884, "hongrin_leman_charge_gwh": 1110.320337421198, "hongrin_leman_discharge_gwh": 888.2562699369541, "grimsel2_charge_gwh": 1007.3243748893748, "grimsel2_discharge_gwh": 805.8594999115023, "winter_imports_gwh": 6667.081593898803, "winter_exports_gwh": 3815.0985656823223, "winter_unserved_gwh": 0.0, "winter_curtailment_gwh": 1356.7381089855571, "winter_net_imports_gwh": 2851.9830282164803, "peak_unserved_gw": 0.7546334248850304, "natural_initial_gwh": 7202.012848355457, "natural_min_gwh": 0.0 }, "changes": { "solar_2024_kwh_kwp": "multiyear", "goesgen_conditional_cf": 0.9044540402945404, "leibstadt_conditional_cf": 0.8552881262761446, "nuclear_units": [ { "plant": "goesgen", "capacity_gw": 1.01, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.9044540402945404, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 121, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "leibstadt", "capacity_gw": 1.233, "calendar_capacity_factor": 0.8552881262761446, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 166, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_1", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 191, "maintenance_days": 30 }, { "plant": "new_unit_2", "capacity_gw": 1.1, "outside_maintenance_availability": 0.98, "maintenance_start_day_of_year": 226, "maintenance_days": 30 } ], "import_limit_gw": 2, "observed_combined_initial_final_gwh": 7203.280000000001, "winter_service": "1 GW additional generation available every winter hour; perfectly reliable contracted service assumption. Unused generation may be curtailed. Fuel and permissions are not established." } } ], "trade": [ { "weather_year": 2012, "claims": { "min": "review-trade-2012-min", "max": "review-trade-2012-max" }, "values": { "min": -8.14859351624671, "max": 11.606362384796782 } }, { "weather_year": 2017, "claims": { "min": "review-trade-2017-min", "max": "review-trade-2017-max" }, "values": { "min": -8.119621565567218, "max": 8.523678246219507 } }, { "weather_year": 2022, "claims": { "min": "review-trade-2022-min", "max": "review-trade-2022-max" }, "values": { "min": -7.700096580001348, "max": 7.436476802642763 } } ], "week": { "rows": [ { "time": "2012-02-05T23:00:00+00:00", "demand": 19.21372511161477, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-06T00:00:00+00:00", "demand": 19.255053991942845, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-06T01:00:00+00:00", "demand": 19.721830644833084, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": 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"2012-02-11T21:00:00+00:00", "demand": 21.821725486732724, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-11T22:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.58062750427106, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-11T23:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.506933653025936, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T00:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.510341918558165, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T01:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.68396154843581, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T02:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.72473531036654, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T03:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.57705077748339, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T04:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.88523043401865, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T05:00:00+00:00", "demand": 17.95530789735848, "fixed": 5.806419043036398, "ceiling": 19.719299043036397 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T06:00:00+00:00", "demand": 17.855832034669483, "fixed": 6.960657027365364, "ceiling": 20.873537027365362 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T07:00:00+00:00", "demand": 17.801786427508404, "fixed": 10.740829413279934, "ceiling": 24.653709413279934 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T08:00:00+00:00", "demand": 17.215495419640835, "fixed": 16.588539331716042, "ceiling": 30.501419331716043 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T09:00:00+00:00", "demand": 17.208653974070025, "fixed": 19.20967790931163, "ceiling": 33.12255790931163 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T10:00:00+00:00", "demand": 17.021111232365094, "fixed": 23.076932076802624, "ceiling": 36.98981207680262 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T11:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.851409854187402, "fixed": 21.62826928775827, "ceiling": 35.541149287758266 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T12:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.359550597033813, "fixed": 20.70615509227108, "ceiling": 34.619035092271076 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T13:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.05120544038519, "fixed": 17.256096738238497, "ceiling": 31.1689767382385 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T14:00:00+00:00", "demand": 15.978714826157924, "fixed": 12.583408817235062, "ceiling": 26.49628881723506 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T15:00:00+00:00", "demand": 16.281418380854284, "fixed": 7.664051106473701, "ceiling": 21.5769311064737 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T16:00:00+00:00", "demand": 22.066951191964648, "fixed": 5.826359316121647, "ceiling": 19.739239316121648 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T17:00:00+00:00", "demand": 23.180359020770297, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T18:00:00+00:00", "demand": 23.575034871975014, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T19:00:00+00:00", "demand": 23.78437009645591, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T20:00:00+00:00", "demand": 23.79015988629343, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T21:00:00+00:00", "demand": 23.45633354883323, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 }, { "time": "2012-02-12T22:00:00+00:00", "demand": 18.325285296705243, "fixed": 5.804990421999471, "ceiling": 19.71787042199947 } ], "claims": { "energy": "review-week-energy", "peak": "review-week-peak", "hours": "review-week-hours" } }, "scale": { "reserve-unit-low": "review-reserve-unit-low", "reserve-unit-high": "review-reserve-unit-high", "reserve-winter": "review-reserve-winter", "one-gw-winter": "review-one-gw-winter", "matched-fuel": "review-matched-fuel", "matched-gas-cost": "review-matched-gas-cost", "matched-gas-emissions": "review-matched-gas-emissions", "nuclear-insurance": "review-nuclear-insurance", "renewables-2035": "review-renewables-2035", "winter-import-guide": "review-winter-import-guide", "hydro-profit-no-support": "review-hydro-profit-no-support", "hydro-profit-support": "review-hydro-profit-support", "hydro-profit-neither": "review-hydro-profit-neither", "ep-pv": "review-ep-pv", "ep-winter-imports": "review-ep-winter-imports", "swissolar-pv": "review-swissolar-pv", "hinkley-cost": "review-hinkley-cost", "flamanville-cost": "review-flamanville-cost", "disposal-extra": "review-disposal-extra", "observed-hourly-peak": "review-observed-hourly-peak" }, "policy": [ { "weather_year": 2012, "value": 26.9681359819539, "claim": "review-renewable-upper-2012" }, { "weather_year": 2017, "value": 27.47746042022594, "claim": "review-renewable-upper-2017" }, { "weather_year": 2022, "value": 29.117491721238736, "claim": "review-renewable-upper-2022" } ], "finance": [ { "capacity_factor": 0.7, "saleable_fraction": 1, "price": 192.2543028209942, "claim": "review-owner-70-100" }, { "capacity_factor": 0.7, "saleable_fraction": 0.75, "price": 256.3390704279923, "claim": "review-owner-70-75" }, { "capacity_factor": 0.85, "saleable_fraction": 1, "price": 162.73883761728933, "claim": "review-owner-85-100" }, { "capacity_factor": 0.85, "saleable_fraction": 0.75, "price": 216.98511682305244, "claim": "review-owner-85-75" }, { "capacity_factor": 0.93, "saleable_fraction": 1, "price": 150.89033545666234, "claim": "review-owner-93-100" }, { "capacity_factor": 0.93, "saleable_fraction": 0.75, "price": 201.18711394221646, "claim": "review-owner-93-75" } ], "claims": [ { "id": "review-2012-import0-battery40-annual", "value": 8.412025657295155, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-battery40-peak", "value": 5.734432211950068, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-lake240-annual", "value": 11.534312835395491, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-lake240-peak", "value": 8.147613700810961, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "value": 14.989959168506273, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak", "value": 6.859305053040621, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-pv10-annual", "value": 10.738019893915181, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-pv10-peak", "value": 8.147613700810961, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-reference-annual", "value": 11.534312835395491, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-reference\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-reference-peak", "value": 8.147613700810961, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-reference\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-third-summer-annual", "value": 7.097396067752762, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-third-summer-peak", "value": 7.069613700810959, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-winter1-annual", "value": 7.830619765667729, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import0-winter1-peak", "value": 7.147613700810962, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import0-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-battery40-annual", "value": 1.0508072457738964, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-battery40-peak", "value": 3.0762742357466477, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-dc10-annual", "value": 6.700008605162516, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-dc10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-dc10-peak", "value": 6.971161350309083, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-dc10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-dc5-annual", "value": 4.299311602072327, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-dc5\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-dc5-peak", "value": 6.365611608031053, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-dc5\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-lake240-annual", "value": 3.5154365687726656, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-lake240-peak", "value": 6.147613700810962, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "value": 6.7190379488217955, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak", "value": 4.069087714217041, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-pv10-annual", "value": 3.032297501199077, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-pv10-peak", "value": 6.147613700810962, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-reference-annual", "value": 3.5154365687726656, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-reference\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-reference-peak", "value": 6.147613700810962, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-reference\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-third-summer-annual", "value": 0.20119855116155969, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-third-summer-peak", "value": 5.069613600810959, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-winter1-annual", "value": 0.20723222980957118, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2012-import2-winter1-peak", "value": 5.147613600810962, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2012-import2-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-battery40-annual", "value": 9.958005742055791, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-battery40-peak", "value": 3.8232264262767863, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-lake240-annual", "value": 12.651131925640927, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-lake240-peak", "value": 4.99299641506055, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "value": 16.252342470817368, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak", "value": 5.826296787048858, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-pv10-annual", "value": 11.779846568932408, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-pv10-peak", "value": 4.982176990129326, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-reference-annual", "value": 12.651131925640927, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-reference\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-reference-peak", "value": 4.99299641506055, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-reference\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-third-summer-annual", "value": 8.123874657731626, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-third-summer-peak", "value": 3.9149964150605503, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-winter1-annual", "value": 8.893508214888197, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import0-winter1-peak", "value": 3.9929964150605497, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import0-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-battery40-annual", "value": 2.5750755661356144, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-battery40-peak", "value": 1.4924374968520588, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-dc10-annual", "value": 7.727159753970639, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-dc10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-dc10-peak", "value": 3.8188003594888014, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-dc10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-dc5-annual", "value": 5.404406361572303, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-dc5\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-dc5-peak", "value": 3.2115915768209686, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-dc5\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-lake240-annual", "value": 4.643299394021515, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-lake240-peak", "value": 2.9929964150605497, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "value": 8.16709842601711, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak", "value": 3.4483087600025506, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-pv10-annual", "value": 4.110159734828412, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-pv10-peak", "value": 2.9821769901293256, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-reference-annual", "value": 4.643299394021515, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-reference\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-reference-peak", "value": 2.9929964150605497, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-reference\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-third-summer-annual", "value": 1.0721560961797068, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-third-summer-peak", "value": 1.9149964150605505, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-winter1-annual", "value": 1.3234025337087554, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2017-import2-winter1-peak", "value": 1.99299641506055, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2017-import2-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-battery40-annual", "value": 7.559606238719523, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-battery40-peak", "value": 2.2669236965679174, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-lake240-annual", "value": 10.677259207869762, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-lake240-peak", "value": 3.1177174478499223, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "value": 13.785782889159217, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak", "value": 4.079799087805723, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-pv10-annual", "value": 9.944062886717074, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-pv10-peak", "value": 2.9742579979577948, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-reference-annual", "value": 10.677259207869762, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-reference\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-reference-peak", "value": 3.1177174478499223, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-reference\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-third-summer-annual", "value": 6.46708708311313, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-third-summer-peak", "value": 1.9689535301081513, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-winter1-annual", "value": 7.047541737489792, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import0-winter1-peak", "value": 2.75463352488503, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import0-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-battery40-annual", "value": 0.0, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-battery40-peak", "value": 0.0, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-dc10-annual", "value": 6.105378909024894, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-dc10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-dc10-peak", "value": 1.8659085724398194, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-dc10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-dc5-annual", "value": 3.8642746042524183, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-dc5\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-dc5-peak", "value": 1.2134888313944492, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-dc5\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-lake240-annual", "value": 3.0801825762670214, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-lake240-peak", "value": 0.9767189510624927, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-lake240\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-annual", "value": 5.847052290809241, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40-peak", "value": 1.822030231132359, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-no-new-pv20-battery40\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-pv10-annual", "value": 2.6080233697901165, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-pv10-peak", "value": 0.8377509056138277, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-pv10\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-reference-annual", "value": 3.0801825762670214, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-reference\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-reference-peak", "value": 0.9767189510624927, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-reference\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-third-summer-annual", "value": 0.0, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-third-summer-peak", "value": 0.0, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-third-summer\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-winter1-annual", "value": 0.0007546334248850304, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Additional electricity required over the year", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1000, \"metric\": \"unserved_gwh\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-2022-import2-winter1-peak", "value": 0.7546334248850304, "unit": "GW", "label": "Largest remaining hourly power gap", "definition": "Matched hourly calculation at the generation boundary. The case specification identifies demand, weather, imports and the changed resource.", "formula": "{\"case\": \"2022-import2-winter1\", \"divisor\": 1, \"metric\": \"peak_unserved_gw\"}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "A screening result, not a procurement quantity or blackout probability. Hydro is pooled, future weather is known and the internal grid is omitted.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-trade-2012-min", "value": -8.14859351624671, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Feasible annual net-export endpoint", "definition": "Exports minus imports at the same annual unmet energy, peak gap and reference annual gross imports.", "formula": "{\"definition\": \"exports minus imports\", \"endpoint\": \"min\", \"weather\": 2012}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Demand still remains uncovered. This range is neither an annual trade forecast nor proof of energy sovereignty.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-trade-2012-max", "value": 11.606362384796782, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Feasible annual net-export endpoint", "definition": "Exports minus imports at the same annual unmet energy, peak gap and reference annual gross imports.", "formula": "{\"definition\": \"exports minus imports\", \"endpoint\": \"max\", \"weather\": 2012}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Demand still remains uncovered. This range is neither an annual trade forecast nor proof of energy sovereignty.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-trade-2017-min", "value": -8.119621565567218, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Feasible annual net-export endpoint", "definition": "Exports minus imports at the same annual unmet energy, peak gap and reference annual gross imports.", "formula": "{\"definition\": \"exports minus imports\", \"endpoint\": \"min\", \"weather\": 2017}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Demand still remains uncovered. This range is neither an annual trade forecast nor proof of energy sovereignty.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-trade-2017-max", "value": 8.523678246219507, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Feasible annual net-export endpoint", "definition": "Exports minus imports at the same annual unmet energy, peak gap and reference annual gross imports.", "formula": "{\"definition\": \"exports minus imports\", \"endpoint\": \"max\", \"weather\": 2017}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Demand still remains uncovered. This range is neither an annual trade forecast nor proof of energy sovereignty.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-trade-2022-min", "value": -7.700096580001348, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Feasible annual net-export endpoint", "definition": "Exports minus imports at the same annual unmet energy, peak gap and reference annual gross imports.", "formula": "{\"definition\": \"exports minus imports\", \"endpoint\": \"min\", \"weather\": 2022}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Demand still remains uncovered. This range is neither an annual trade forecast nor proof of energy sovereignty.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-trade-2022-max", "value": 7.436476802642763, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Feasible annual net-export endpoint", "definition": "Exports minus imports at the same annual unmet energy, peak gap and reference annual gross imports.", "formula": "{\"definition\": \"exports minus imports\", \"endpoint\": \"max\", \"weather\": 2022}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Demand still remains uncovered. This range is neither an annual trade forecast nor proof of energy sovereignty.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-week-energy", "value": 159.42627009663676, "unit": "GWh", "label": "Cold-week shortfall forced by power limits", "definition": "Demand above fixed generation plus every hydro turbine, pumped store and permitted import running at full power.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"max(0, bus demand - fixed generation - hydro turbine power - pumped discharge power - imports)\", \"metric\": \"energy\"}", "period": "2050 fleet under 6–12 February 2012 weather", "limitation": "An optimistic hourly upper supply limit ignores water depletion. Actual deliverable supply may be lower. No arbitrary dispatch schedule determines these hours.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-week-peak", "value": 6.14761360081096, "unit": "GW", "label": "Cold-week shortfall forced by power limits", "definition": "Demand above fixed generation plus every hydro turbine, pumped store and permitted import running at full power.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"max(0, bus demand - fixed generation - hydro turbine power - pumped discharge power - imports)\", \"metric\": \"peak\"}", "period": "2050 fleet under 6–12 February 2012 weather", "limitation": "An optimistic hourly upper supply limit ignores water depletion. Actual deliverable supply may be lower. No arbitrary dispatch schedule determines these hours.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-week-hours", "value": 50.0, "unit": "hours", "label": "Cold-week shortfall forced by power limits", "definition": "Demand above fixed generation plus every hydro turbine, pumped store and permitted import running at full power.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"max(0, bus demand - fixed generation - hydro turbine power - pumped discharge power - imports)\", \"metric\": \"hours\"}", "period": "2050 fleet under 6–12 February 2012 weather", "limitation": "An optimistic hourly upper supply limit ignores water depletion. Actual deliverable supply may be lower. No arbitrary dispatch schedule determines these hours.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-reserve-unit-low", "value": 214.97998856489423, "unit": "CHF/kW/year", "label": "Reserve readiness benchmark, excluding contingency", "definition": "The proposed reserve construction and readiness credit divided by contracted power and 15 readiness years.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"credit CHF / kW / years\", \"high_chf\": 2180000000.0, \"kw\": 583000, \"low_chf\": 1880000000.0, \"years\": 15}", "period": "Swiss reserve financing proposal, 2026", "limitation": "Excludes activation fuel; contingency distinguishes the endpoints. Scaling this average does not establish a bid for additional capacity.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-reserve-unit-high", "value": 249.28530588907947, "unit": "CHF/kW/year", "label": "Reserve readiness benchmark, including contingency", "definition": "The proposed reserve construction and readiness credit divided by contracted power and 15 readiness years.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"credit CHF / kW / years\", \"high_chf\": 2180000000.0, \"kw\": 583000, \"low_chf\": 1880000000.0, \"years\": 15}", "period": "Swiss reserve financing proposal, 2026", "limitation": "Excludes activation fuel; contingency distinguishes the endpoints. Scaling this average does not establish a bid for additional capacity.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-reserve-winter", "value": 2.546544, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Reserve output if fully available for a whole winter", "definition": "Electrical power multiplied by all 4,368 hours in the 2016/17 winter.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"GW * 4368 hours / 1000 = TWh\"}", "period": "October 2016–March 2017 duration", "limitation": "Assumes continuous full output. It establishes neither fuel availability nor permission for ordinary operation.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-one-gw-winter", "value": 4.368, "unit": "TWh", "label": "One GW running continuously for the winter", "definition": "Electrical power multiplied by all 4,368 hours in the 2016/17 winter.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"GW * 4368 hours / 1000 = TWh\"}", "period": "October 2016–March 2017 duration", "limitation": "Assumes continuous full output. It establishes neither fuel availability nor permission for ordinary operation.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-matched-fuel", "value": 1.2091925505264363, "unit": "billion litres", "label": "Liquid fuel equivalent of the matched energy gap", "definition": "Liquid fuel needed to generate the matched 2016/17-weather 2050 annual electricity gap at 40% net efficiency.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"gap TWh * 1e9 kWh/TWh / .40 / 9.6 kWh per litre / 1e9 litres/billion\"}", "period": "2050 demand; 2016/17 weather", "limitation": "Illustrative fuel equivalence, not a procurement plan. Delivery, stock rotation, emissions and permissions remain separate.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-matched-gas-cost", "value": 164.83636363636364, "unit": "CHF/MWh", "label": "Illustrative gas activation cost including assumed carbon price", "definition": "Fuel, variable upkeep and an assumed carbon charge per MWh of gas-fired electricity.", "formula": "{\"co2_chf_t\": 100, \"co2_t_per_mwh_fuel\": 0.2016, \"efficiency\": 0.55, \"formula\": \"65/.55 + 10 + .2016/.55*100\", \"fuel_chf_mwh\": 65, \"upkeep_chf_mwh\": 10}", "period": "2026 CHF assumptions", "limitation": "Excludes capital, readiness, upstream emissions and fuel logistics. Fuel and carbon prices are scenario assumptions.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-matched-gas-emissions", "value": 1.7019802869722496, "unit": "million tonnes CO2", "label": "Combustion emissions if gas supplies the matched gap", "definition": "Direct combustion CO2 if gas generation supplies the matched annual electricity gap at 55% efficiency.", "formula": "{\"formula\": \"gap TWh * .2016 tCO2/MWh fuel / .55 = million tonnes CO2\"}", "period": "2050 demand; 2016/17 weather", "limitation": "Excludes upstream methane and other lifecycle emissions. It does not establish which fuel or plant would supply the gap.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-nuclear-insurance", "value": 1.2, "unit": "EUR billion", "label": "Required nuclear-damage cover before interest and court costs", "definition": "BFE stated mandatory nuclear-damage cover, before the additional 10% for interest and legal costs.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"nuclear-insurance\", \"source\": \"review-nuclear-liability\", \"value\": 1.2}", "period": "Law and BFE explanation checked 2 October 2026", "limitation": "Finite cover is distinct from unlimited operator liability. Actual private policies, federal cover and international supplements have separate conditions.", "status": "observed", "sources": [ "review-nuclear-liability" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-renewables-2035", "value": 35.0, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Legal non-hydro renewable generation target for 2035", "definition": "Energy Act Article 2 target for average domestic annual renewable generation excluding hydro in 2035.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"renewables-2035\", \"source\": \"review-energy-act\", \"value\": 35}", "period": "Energy Act, edition effective 1 January 2026", "limitation": "Annual production target; it does not itself guarantee hourly supply or set the solar share.", "status": "target", "sources": [ "review-energy-act" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-winter-import-guide", "value": 5.0, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Legal winter net-import guide value", "definition": "Energy Act Article 2 winter net-import guide value for October through March.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"winter-import-guide\", \"source\": \"review-energy-act\", \"value\": 5}", "period": "Energy Act, edition effective 1 January 2026", "limitation": "Net imports subtract exports; gross import reliance and hourly access remain separate. A guide value is not an absolute border limit.", "status": "target", "sources": [ "review-energy-act" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-hydro-profit-no-support", "value": 24.0, "unit": "GWh/year", "label": "Surveyed hydro additions profitable without support", "definition": "Added annual generation from surveyed upgrades to existing large hydro plants, grouped by reported profitability.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"hydro-profit-no-support\", \"source\": \"review-hydro-profitability\", \"value\": 24}", "period": "BFE survey, 13 June 2025, Table 5", "limitation": "Surveyed subset, not national potential or winter delivery. A profitable estimate does not establish construction or final investment approval.", "status": "observed", "sources": [ "review-hydro-profitability" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-hydro-profit-support", "value": 792.0, "unit": "GWh/year", "label": "Surveyed hydro additions profitable with current support", "definition": "Added annual generation from surveyed upgrades to existing large hydro plants, grouped by reported profitability.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"hydro-profit-support\", \"source\": \"review-hydro-profitability\", \"value\": 792}", "period": "BFE survey, 13 June 2025, Table 5", "limitation": "Surveyed subset, not national potential or winter delivery. A profitable estimate does not establish construction or final investment approval.", "status": "observed", "sources": [ "review-hydro-profitability" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-hydro-profit-neither", "value": 431.0, "unit": "GWh/year", "label": "Surveyed hydro additions unprofitable with current support", "definition": "Added annual generation from surveyed upgrades to existing large hydro plants, grouped by reported profitability.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"hydro-profit-neither\", \"source\": \"review-hydro-profitability\", \"value\": 431}", "period": "BFE survey, 13 June 2025, Table 5", "limitation": "Surveyed subset, not national potential or winter delivery. A profitable estimate does not establish construction or final investment approval.", "status": "observed", "sources": [ "review-hydro-profitability" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-ep-pv", "value": 37.5, "unit": "GWp", "label": "Solar capacity in EP2050+ ZERO Basis", "definition": "Published EP2050+ ZERO Basis solar capacity or approximate winter net-import result.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"ep-pv\", \"source\": \"review-bfe-10323\", \"value\": 37.5}", "period": "EP2050+ ZERO Basis, 2050 scenario", "limitation": "Scenario boundaries and demand differ from the WattInfo programme. The federal study is being updated.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-bfe-10323" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-ep-winter-imports", "value": 9.0, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Approximate winter net imports in EP2050+ ZERO Basis", "definition": "Published EP2050+ ZERO Basis solar capacity or approximate winter net-import result.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"ep-winter-imports\", \"source\": \"review-bfe-10641\", \"value\": 9}", "period": "EP2050+ ZERO Basis, 2050 scenario", "limitation": "Scenario boundaries and demand differ from the WattInfo programme. The federal study is being updated.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-bfe-10641" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-swissolar-pv", "value": 50.0, "unit": "GWp", "label": "Swissolar proposed solar capacity for 2050", "definition": "Swissolar proposed solar installed capacity for 2050.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"swissolar-pv\", \"source\": \"review-swissolar-50gw-2022\", \"value\": 50}", "period": "Swissolar proposal published 2022; horizon 2050", "limitation": "An industry proposal, not a legislated capacity target or a verified complete supply plan.", "status": "target", "sources": [ "review-swissolar-50gw-2022" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-hinkley-cost", "value": 35.0, "unit": "GBP2015 billion", "label": "Hinkley Point C estimated completion cost, two reactors", "definition": "EDF completion-cost estimate in the stated original currency and 2015 price year.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"hinkley-cost\", \"source\": \"review-edf-costs\", \"value\": 35}", "period": "EDF 2025 consolidated accounts, published February 2026", "limitation": "Hinkley covers two units; Flamanville covers one. Finance and project boundaries differ from Swiss overnight-cost assumptions.", "status": "estimate", "sources": [ "review-edf-costs" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-flamanville-cost", "value": 13.2, "unit": "EUR2015 billion", "label": "Flamanville 3 estimated completion cost", "definition": "EDF completion-cost estimate in the stated original currency and 2015 price year.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"flamanville-cost\", \"source\": \"review-edf-costs\", \"value\": 13.2}", "period": "EDF 2025 consolidated accounts, published February 2026", "limitation": "Hinkley covers two units; Flamanville covers one. Finance and project boundaries differ from Swiss overnight-cost assumptions.", "status": "estimate", "sources": [ "review-edf-costs" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-disposal-extra", "value": 10.0, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Additional geological-disposal allowance in the sensitivity", "definition": "Additional geological-disposal charge assumed per generated MWh in the owner-cost sensitivity.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"disposal-extra\", \"source\": \"review-scale-finance\", \"value\": 10}", "period": "2026 CHF; analyst sensitivity", "limitation": "No project-specific fund assessment is available. This assumed contribution does not establish the complete liability.", "status": "assumption", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-observed-hourly-peak", "value": 9.401333994875001, "unit": "GW", "label": "Swissgrid metered end-user hourly peak in 2024", "definition": "Maximum hourly mean of Swissgrid metered end-user load in the 2024 archive.", "formula": "{\"key\": \"observed-hourly-peak\", \"source\": \"review-scale-finance\", \"value\": 9.401333994875001}", "period": "Swissgrid 2024 metered-load observations", "limitation": "This metering boundary excludes grid losses and pumping and is not the future model generation boundary. It does not validate future cold-weather heating peaks.", "status": "observed", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-renewable-upper-2012", "value": 26.9681359819539, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Upper screen for non-hydro renewable production", "definition": "Solar plus the entire mixed other-generation category, optimistically counted as renewable.", "formula": "{\"mixed_other_gwh\": 3697.54, \"solar_gwh\": 23270.5959819539, \"weather\": 2012}", "period": "2035 fleet; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "The other category also contains non-renewable generation. This screen cannot establish statutory compliance; it shows that the tested fleet falls short even on generous counting.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison", "review-energy-act" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-renewable-upper-2017", "value": 27.47746042022594, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Upper screen for non-hydro renewable production", "definition": "Solar plus the entire mixed other-generation category, optimistically counted as renewable.", "formula": "{\"mixed_other_gwh\": 3697.54, \"solar_gwh\": 23779.92042022594, \"weather\": 2017}", "period": "2035 fleet; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "The other category also contains non-renewable generation. This screen cannot establish statutory compliance; it shows that the tested fleet falls short even on generous counting.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison", "review-energy-act" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-renewable-upper-2022", "value": 29.117491721238736, "unit": "TWh", "label": "Upper screen for non-hydro renewable production", "definition": "Solar plus the entire mixed other-generation category, optimistically counted as renewable.", "formula": "{\"mixed_other_gwh\": 3697.54, \"solar_gwh\": 25419.951721238736, \"weather\": 2022}", "period": "2035 fleet; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "The other category also contains non-renewable generation. This screen cannot establish statutory compliance; it shows that the tested fleet falls short even on generous counting.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-supply-comparison", "review-energy-act" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-owner-70-100", "value": 192.2543028209942, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Required receipt with a disposal allowance and sales risk", "definition": "Original owner break-even plus an assumed CHF 10 per generated MWh for geological disposal, divided by the fraction of generated output earning revenue.", "formula": "{\"additional_disposal\": 10, \"capacity_factor\": 0.7, \"original_break_even\": 182.2543028209942, \"saleable_fraction\": 1}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Costs are held unchanged when sales fall. This is a sensitivity, not a predicted curtailment allocation, market price or statutory disposal assessment.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-owner-70-75", "value": 256.3390704279923, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Required receipt with a disposal allowance and sales risk", "definition": "Original owner break-even plus an assumed CHF 10 per generated MWh for geological disposal, divided by the fraction of generated output earning revenue.", "formula": "{\"additional_disposal\": 10, \"capacity_factor\": 0.7, \"original_break_even\": 182.2543028209942, \"saleable_fraction\": 0.75}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Costs are held unchanged when sales fall. This is a sensitivity, not a predicted curtailment allocation, market price or statutory disposal assessment.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-owner-85-100", "value": 162.73883761728933, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Required receipt with a disposal allowance and sales risk", "definition": "Original owner break-even plus an assumed CHF 10 per generated MWh for geological disposal, divided by the fraction of generated output earning revenue.", "formula": "{\"additional_disposal\": 10, \"capacity_factor\": 0.85, \"original_break_even\": 152.73883761728933, \"saleable_fraction\": 1}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Costs are held unchanged when sales fall. This is a sensitivity, not a predicted curtailment allocation, market price or statutory disposal assessment.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-owner-85-75", "value": 216.98511682305244, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Required receipt with a disposal allowance and sales risk", "definition": "Original owner break-even plus an assumed CHF 10 per generated MWh for geological disposal, divided by the fraction of generated output earning revenue.", "formula": "{\"additional_disposal\": 10, \"capacity_factor\": 0.85, \"original_break_even\": 152.73883761728933, \"saleable_fraction\": 0.75}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Costs are held unchanged when sales fall. This is a sensitivity, not a predicted curtailment allocation, market price or statutory disposal assessment.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-owner-93-100", "value": 150.89033545666234, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Required receipt with a disposal allowance and sales risk", "definition": "Original owner break-even plus an assumed CHF 10 per generated MWh for geological disposal, divided by the fraction of generated output earning revenue.", "formula": "{\"additional_disposal\": 10, \"capacity_factor\": 0.93, \"original_break_even\": 140.89033545666234, \"saleable_fraction\": 1}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Costs are held unchanged when sales fall. This is a sensitivity, not a predicted curtailment allocation, market price or statutory disposal assessment.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" }, { "id": "review-owner-93-75", "value": 201.18711394221646, "unit": "CHF2026/MWh", "label": "Required receipt with a disposal allowance and sales risk", "definition": "Original owner break-even plus an assumed CHF 10 per generated MWh for geological disposal, divided by the fraction of generated output earning revenue.", "formula": "{\"additional_disposal\": 10, \"capacity_factor\": 0.93, \"original_break_even\": 140.89033545666234, \"saleable_fraction\": 0.75}", "period": "2050 screening; selected historical weather years", "limitation": "Costs are held unchanged when sales fall. This is a sensitivity, not a predicted curtailment allocation, market price or statutory disposal assessment.", "status": "scenario", "sources": [ "review-scale-finance" ], "reviewedAt": "2026-10-02" } ], "formulas": { "fuel": "gap TWh * 1e9 kWh/TWh / 0.4 / 9.6 kWh per litre", "readiness": "CHF 1880–2180 million / 583000 kW / 15 years", "gas": "65 CHF/MWh fuel / .55 + 10 CHF/MWh upkeep + .2016 tCO2/MWh fuel / .55 * 100 CHF/tCO2" }, "limits": [ "No equal-service whole-system cost ranking is established.", "Wind and alpine PV lack a validated, aligned national hourly portfolio here.", "The 1 GW winter service assumes perfect delivery; fuel, emissions, capacity payment and legal permission must be supplied separately.", "Additional lake capacity does not add October water or annual natural inflow.", "The no-new case adds 20 GWp ordinary PV and 40 GWh batteries; it is a tested comparator, not an optimized alternative strategy." ] }