{
  "as_of": "2026-09-10",
  "coverage": "All 18 entries reviewed. Thirteen formerly unrefreshed proposals now have a current status or explicitly bounded planning evidence. Five prior refreshed entries are reused, with a further Grimsel 4 construction-start update. No inference that listing, concession or engineering award equals a financed operating asset.",
  "projects": [
    {
      "name": "Chummensee",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "groupe-e-chummensee",
      "project_stage": "feasibility_studies",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "groupe-e-chummensee",
        "fmv-projects-2026",
        "vs-hydro-plan-2025"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-06-12",
      "note": "Partnership announced 6 November 2025; design variants and finance open. Earlier cantonal 179 GWh winter potential is not a final project design.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "groupe-e-chummensee",
          "url": "https://www.groupe-e.ch/de/ueber-groupe-e/medien/pressemitteilungen/Wasserkraftprojekt-Chummensee",
          "publisher": "Groupe E / GKW / FMV",
          "publication_date": "2025 date to verify",
          "evidence_status": "primary_text_archived_via_web_reader_original_failed"
        },
        {
          "id": "fmv-projects-2026",
          "url": "https://www.strom.ch/system/files/media/documents/FMV_GV2026_MM_D_12.06.2026.pdf",
          "publisher": "FMV",
          "publication_date": "2026-06-12",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
          "url": "https://www.vs.ch/documents/23442489/43527349/E.4%2BProduction%2Bd_energie%2Bhydroelectrique_28112025.pdf/e05e2c14-a3f2-ad72-c494-8bb5cb77559a?t=1764245727393&v=1.0",
          "publisher": "Canton Valais",
          "publication_date": "2025-11-28",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Curnera-Nalps",
      "canton": "GR",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "gr-hydro-response-2026",
      "project_stage": "not_currently_pursued_by_operator",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 100,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "operator_says_current_storage_already_economically_optimized",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "gr-hydro-response-2026"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-02-18",
      "winter_energy_definition": "Dormant proposal for seasonal shift, not assured production.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "gr-hydro-response-2026",
          "url": "https://cdws-staka-gr.gr.ch/cdws/files/b6dc6fb7ba934d6480fe91a42496dfc7-332/25/pdf",
          "publisher": "Canton Graubünden",
          "publication_date": "2026 date to verify",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Gorner",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "alpiq-gornerli-sizing-2026",
      "project_stage": "design_and_pre_permitting",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 550,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": "2035 operator target, conditional",
      "capex_chf_million": 510,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_demonstrated_support_possible",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "winter_energy_definition": "Full-development winter storage capacity, not annual incremental natural production and not assured by 2050",
      "phased_winter_storage": [
        {
          "year": 2040,
          "gwh": 435,
          "status": "operator projection conditional on completion"
        },
        {
          "year_range": [
            2045,
            2060
          ],
          "gwh": 550,
          "status": "full potential depends on glacier retreat/climate scenario"
        }
      ],
      "published_potential_grant_pct": 60,
      "grant_status": "possible maximum, formal decisions pending",
      "review_classification": "reused_prior_refresh",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "alpiq-gornerli-sizing-2026",
          "url": "https://www.alpiq.com/newsroom/news-stories/a-major-milestone-has-been-reached-by-gornerli-multi-purpose-reservoir",
          "publisher": "Alpiq",
          "publication_date": "2026-05-20",
          "evidence_status": "reused_original_archive"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Gougra",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "alpiq-moiry-2026",
      "project_stage": "preferred_variant_and_permit_preparation",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": "2029 possible construction start; approximately four years works, conditional",
      "capex_chf_million": 120,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_demonstrated_possible_60pct_grant_not_awarded",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "alpiq-moiry-2026",
        "vs-moiry-cost-2026"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-05-21",
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh_range": [
        40,
        50
      ],
      "note": "Moiry raising approximately 9 m. Seasonal transfer, not annual generation. New pump flow 5 m3/s is not a 5 MW rating. Concession expiry 2039 and residual-value agreement matter.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "alpiq-moiry-2026",
          "url": "https://www.alpiq.com/fr/newsroom/news-stories/une-contribution-essentielle-a-la-securite-dapprovisionnement-hivernal",
          "publisher": "Alpiq / Forces Motrices de la Gougra",
          "publication_date": "2026-05-21",
          "evidence_status": "reused_original_archive"
        },
        {
          "id": "vs-moiry-cost-2026",
          "url": "https://www.vs.ch/web/strategie-eau/w/rehaussement-du-barrage-de-moiry",
          "publisher": "Canton Valais",
          "publication_date": "2026-05-04",
          "evidence_status": "reused_original_archive"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Griessee",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "fmv-projects-2026",
      "project_stage": "development_by_fmv",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 43,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "fmv-projects-2026",
        "vs-hydro-plan-2025"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-06-12",
      "winter_energy_definition": "Published planning winter-energy potential; engineering and finance remain open.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "fmv-projects-2026",
          "url": "https://www.strom.ch/system/files/media/documents/FMV_GV2026_MM_D_12.06.2026.pdf",
          "publisher": "FMV",
          "publication_date": "2026-06-12",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
          "url": "https://www.vs.ch/documents/23442489/43527349/E.4%2BProduction%2Bd_energie%2Bhydroelectrique_28112025.pdf/e05e2c14-a3f2-ad72-c494-8bb5cb77559a?t=1764245727393&v=1.0",
          "publisher": "Canton Valais",
          "publication_date": "2025-11-28",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Grimselsee",
      "canton": "BE",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "kwo-grimsel-raising",
      "project_stage": "cantonal_concession_granted_building_permit_next",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 240,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": 240,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "kwo-grimsel-raising",
        "kwo-grimsel-concession-2026"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-09-09",
      "note": "Operator reports 152 unanimous votes early in week of 7 September. Raising 23 m, 94 to 170 million m3, 270 to 510 GWh. Concession is not a building permit or final investment decision.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "kwo-grimsel-raising",
          "url": "https://kwo-prod.fra1.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/files/Projekte/Projektblatt_Vergro%CC%88sserung-Grimselsee_KWO_neu.pdf",
          "publisher": "KWO",
          "publication_date": "undated",
          "evidence_status": "primary_text_archived_via_web_reader_original_failed"
        },
        {
          "id": "kwo-grimsel-concession-2026",
          "url": "https://de.linkedin.com/pulse/grosser-rat-spricht-konzession-f%C3%BCr-grimselseevergr%C3%B6sserung-p7wse",
          "publisher": "KWO via official LinkedIn post",
          "publication_date": "2026-09-09",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Lac d’Emosson",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "emosson-annual-2025",
      "project_stage": "surESA_preliminary_study_binational_framework",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "emosson-annual-2025",
        "alpiq-projects-2026",
        "vs-hydro-plan-2025"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-06-08",
      "note": "2025 report: geological/seismic work and preliminary report, no FID. Cantonal older 58 GWh winter potential retained as historical evidence, not a reconciled current binational quantity.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "emosson-annual-2025",
          "url": "https://emosson.ch/fileadmin/user_upload/documents/Communiques/Emosson_rapport_gestion_2025_digital_DEF.pdf",
          "publisher": "Electricité d Emosson",
          "publication_date": "2026-06-08 publication announcement",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "alpiq-projects-2026",
          "url": "https://www.alpiq.com/newsroom/news-stories/alpiq-is-pressing-ahead-with-its-projects",
          "publisher": "Alpiq",
          "publication_date": "2026-07-04 date locale to verify",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
          "url": "https://www.vs.ch/documents/23442489/43527349/E.4%2BProduction%2Bd_energie%2Bhydroelectrique_28112025.pdf/e05e2c14-a3f2-ad72-c494-8bb5cb77559a?t=1764245727393&v=1.0",
          "publisher": "Canton Valais",
          "publication_date": "2025-11-28",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Lac des Toules",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
      "project_stage": "cantonal_planning_designation_current_investment_stage_unresolved",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 74,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
        "romande-toules-2026"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-05-25",
      "winter_energy_definition": "Older 2023 planning estimate in 2025 cantonal plan, not a current bankable forecast.",
      "note": "Plan describes a new higher dam at the existing site. Reglee is spatial coordination, not construction authorization. Current operator description does not supply a project budget or schedule.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
          "url": "https://www.vs.ch/documents/23442489/43527349/E.4%2BProduction%2Bd_energie%2Bhydroelectrique_28112025.pdf/e05e2c14-a3f2-ad72-c494-8bb5cb77559a?t=1764245727393&v=1.0",
          "publisher": "Canton Valais",
          "publication_date": "2025-11-28",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "romande-toules-2026",
          "url": "https://www.romande-energie.ch/blog/comment-les-barrages-suisses-faconnent-notre-energie-immersion-au-barrage-des-toules",
          "publisher": "Romande Energie",
          "publication_date": "2026-05-25",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Lago del Sambuco",
      "canton": "TI",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "ofima-annual-2025",
      "project_stage": "design_contract_awarded",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "ofima-annual-2025"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "FY2024/25 report; publication day unresolved",
      "note": "Consorzio Alpigia: Lombardi SA, IM Maggia Engineering SA, Gruner Stucky Ltd. Raising plus Peccia modernization/balancing basin; engineering award does not establish construction FID. Earlier archive already contains this report.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "ofima-annual-2025",
          "url": "https://www.ofima.ch/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/OFI_20_10-OFIMA-Relazione-Esercizio-2024-25-IT-DEF-web.pdf",
          "publisher": "Ofima",
          "publication_date": null,
          "evidence_status": "reused_original_archive"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Lai da Marmorera",
      "canton": "GR",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "gr-hydro-response-2026",
      "project_stage": "preliminary_design_road_and_concession_dependencies",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 50,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": "Implementation realistically after concession renewal in 2035; completion unspecified",
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "gr-hydro-response-2026"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-02-18",
      "note": "ASTRA estimates at least 14 years for Julier road planning/building. Seasonal shifting proposal, not committed capacity.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "gr-hydro-response-2026",
          "url": "https://cdws-staka-gr.gr.ch/cdws/files/b6dc6fb7ba934d6480fe91a42496dfc7-332/25/pdf",
          "publisher": "Canton Graubünden",
          "publication_date": "2026 date to verify",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Mattmarksee",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "axpo-mattmark-2025",
      "project_stage": "raising_variant_under_study",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 60,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": 60,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": 83,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "axpo-mattmark-2025"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2025-01-16",
      "note": "10 m raising, about 18% more volume and four years works. Environmental, concession/residual-value and economic conditions unresolved; no extra annual generation.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "axpo-mattmark-2025",
          "url": "https://www.axpo.com/ch/de/newsroom/medienmitteilungen/2025/staudamm-mattmark-erhoehung-um-zehn-meter-wird-geprueft.html",
          "publisher": "Axpo / KWM",
          "publication_date": "2025-01-16",
          "evidence_status": "reused_primary_web_reader_original_download_failed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Oberaarsee",
      "canton": "BE",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "kwo-oberaar",
      "project_stage": "rough_feasibility_study",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 65,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": 65,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "kwo-oberaar"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "undated operator page retrieved 2026-09-10",
      "note": "10 m raising and 17 million m3 more volume; annual generation unchanged. Grimselsee and Trift take priority.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "kwo-oberaar",
          "url": "https://www.grimselstrom.ch/projekte/vergroesserung-oberaarsee",
          "publisher": "KWO",
          "publication_date": "undated",
          "evidence_status": "primary_text_archived_via_web_reader_original_failed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Oberaletsch klein",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "alpiq-projects-2026",
      "project_stage": "other_partners_takeover_identity_and_current_stage_unresolved",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 54,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": 40,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "alpiq-projects-2026",
        "vs-hydro-plan-2025"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-04-07",
      "winter_energy_definition": "Older 2023 cantonal planning estimate; not a confirmed new operator design.",
      "note": "Different project from Oberaletsch Gross (400 MW/765 GWh planning concept). Do not merge.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "alpiq-projects-2026",
          "url": "https://www.alpiq.com/newsroom/news-stories/alpiq-is-pressing-ahead-with-its-projects",
          "publisher": "Alpiq",
          "publication_date": "2026-07-04 date locale to verify",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "vs-hydro-plan-2025",
          "url": "https://www.vs.ch/documents/23442489/43527349/E.4%2BProduction%2Bd_energie%2Bhydroelectrique_28112025.pdf/e05e2c14-a3f2-ad72-c494-8bb5cb77559a?t=1764245727393&v=1.0",
          "publisher": "Canton Valais",
          "publication_date": "2025-11-28",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Reusskaskade",
      "canton": "UR",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "ckw-reuss-2026",
      "project_stage": "next_design_phase_started",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 60,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": "Design to spring 2027, earliest works 2029; conditional",
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "refreshed_or_bounded_this_pass",
      "source_ids": [
        "ckw-reuss-2026"
      ],
      "latest_evidence_date": "2026-07-09",
      "note": "Goescheneralp 15 m raising, 28% more volume. 60 GWh winter applies to whole Goescheneralp-Wassen-Amsteg cascade. Slight annual increment unquantified. Concession expires 2043; compensation/economics open.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "ckw-reuss-2026",
          "url": "https://www.ckw.ch/ueber-ckw/medienstelle/medienmitteilungen/2026/dammerhoehung-goescheneralpsee-kwg-startet-naechste-planungsphase",
          "publisher": "CKW / KWG",
          "publication_date": "2026-07-09",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Trift",
      "canton": "BE",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "kwo-trift-access-2026",
      "project_stage": "alternative_access_under_study",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "project_status_note": "Operator reports blocked municipal talks and assesses Aaretal access; no completed project approval or construction commitment established by this source",
      "review_classification": "reused_prior_refresh",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "kwo-trift-access-2026",
          "url": "https://www.strom.ch/system/files/media/documents/Medienmitteilung%20KWO%2019022026.pdf",
          "publisher": "Kraftwerke Oberhasli AG",
          "publication_date": "2026-02-19",
          "evidence_status": "archived_original_response_and_derived_text"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Chlus",
      "canton": "GR",
      "programme": "federal_annex_2_list_in_2025_release",
      "programme_source": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "latest_project_source_id": "repower-chlus-2026",
      "project_stage": "concession_granted_project_approval_pending_no_construction_decision",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": 217,
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 65,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "incremental_turbine_mw": null,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_demonstrated_operator_funding_conditions_pending",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "winter_energy_definition": "Winter portion of prospective annual generation; season convention not specified in release",
      "construction_start_target": 2028,
      "construction_duration_years": 5,
      "earliest_arithmetic_completion_year": 2033,
      "completion_status": "derived from conditional 2028 start plus approximately five years; not assured commissioning",
      "subsidy_dependency": "Operator requires binding federal investment and hydropeaking-remediation funding commitments before construction decision",
      "review_classification": "reused_prior_refresh",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "repower-chlus-2026",
          "url": "https://www.repower.com/ch/medienmitteilungen/chlus_projektgenehmigung",
          "publisher": "Repower",
          "publication_date": "2026-06-15",
          "evidence_status": "archived_original_response_and_derived_text"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Grimsel 4",
      "canton": "BE",
      "programme": "separate_pumped_storage_expansion_not_grimselsee_raising",
      "latest_project_source_id": "kwo-grimsel4-investment-2026",
      "project_stage": "construction_started_operator_report",
      "decision_date": "2026-03-27",
      "incremental_turbine_mw": 168,
      "incremental_pump_mw": null,
      "pump_rating_note": "Two reversible units rated 84 MW each; distinct pumping electrical-input rating not isolated in release, so do not automatically add 168 MW pump demand",
      "commissioning_target": "2032-02 scheduled works completion",
      "construction_start_target": "2026-06 was the prior announced target; superseded by actual 2026-07-07 operator report",
      "capex_chf_million": 300,
      "incremental_reservoir_energy_gwh": null,
      "reservoir_note": "Connects existing lakes, no additional impoundment surface; no new seasonal storage credit inferred",
      "incremental_natural_generation_gwh_per_year": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed_board_decision_is_not_public_merchant_cashflow_proof",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "prior_refresh_plus_new_construction_evidence",
      "construction_start": "2026-07-07",
      "additional_source_ids": [
        "kwo-grimsel-concession-2026"
      ],
      "construction_evidence_boundary": "Related KWO post embedded in the archived official KWO LinkedIn article reports actual start on 7 July 2026. Distinct from the prior June target.",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "kwo-grimsel-concession-2026",
          "url": "https://de.linkedin.com/pulse/grosser-rat-spricht-konzession-f%C3%BCr-grimselseevergr%C3%B6sserung-p7wse",
          "publisher": "KWO via official LinkedIn post",
          "publication_date": "2026-09-09",
          "evidence_status": "original_response_archived_reviewed"
        },
        {
          "id": "kwo-grimsel4-investment-2026",
          "url": "https://www.strom.ch/de/document/20260327kwomedienmitteilungbaugrimsel4",
          "publisher": "Kraftwerke Oberhasli AG",
          "publication_date": "2026-03-27",
          "evidence_status": "reused_original_archive"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Dix+",
      "canton": "VS",
      "programme": "separate_grande_dixence_raising",
      "latest_project_source_id": "alpiq-gornerli-sizing-2026",
      "project_stage": "technical_feasibility_reported_regulatory_questions_open",
      "additional_winter_energy_gwh": 100,
      "winter_energy_definition": "Additional energy-storage potential in Grande Dixence system, not extra annual natural generation",
      "incremental_reservoir_volume_million_m3": 20,
      "dam_raising_m": 5,
      "commissioning_target": null,
      "capex_chf_million": null,
      "unsubsidized_viability_status": "not_assessed",
      "in_assured_2050_supply": false,
      "review_classification": "reused_prior_refresh",
      "source_links": [
        {
          "id": "alpiq-gornerli-sizing-2026",
          "url": "https://www.alpiq.com/newsroom/news-stories/a-major-milestone-has-been-reached-by-gornerli-multi-purpose-reservoir",
          "publisher": "Alpiq",
          "publication_date": "2026-05-20",
          "evidence_status": "reused_original_archive"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "aggregate_observations": [
    {
      "source_id": "federal-hydro-pipeline-2025",
      "source_date": "2025-08-27",
      "basis": "Q2 2025 operator survey",
      "target_winter_storage_production_twh_2040": 2.0,
      "estimated_winter_storage_production_twh_2040": 1.1,
      "estimated_full_buildout_twh": 1.5,
      "full_buildout_year": null,
      "classification": "official forecast, not commitment; full buildout does not mean 2050"
    },
    {
      "source_id": "federal-hydro-followup-2025",
      "source_date": "2025-12-04",
      "estimated_winter_storage_production_twh_2040": 1.1,
      "classification": "reaffirmed estimate and project-list update process, not a new completed pipeline"
    }
  ],
  "aggregation_rules": [
    "Never add programme totals to their constituent projects.",
    "Do not combine 2025 aggregate forecasts with resized 2026 project figures without reconciling scopes.",
    "Do not interpret seasonal production in TWh/year as identical to new lake capacity in TWh.",
    "Do not count all hydro projects as guaranteed by 2050 or as subsidy-free."
  ],
  "prior_register": "data/evidence-baseline-2026-09-10/hydro-expansion-register.json"
}
