[
  {
    "id": "SC01",
    "finding": "2025 Swiss roof survey medians range from CHF660/kWp above1MW to CHF2497/kWp at2\u201310kW; intermediate bands800,1102,1428,1911.",
    "source_id": "roof-survey-existing",
    "locator": "Table4p17;scopepp7\u20139",
    "status": "surveyed_offers_and_invoices",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "ExVAT, installer scope; >1MW only7observations. No national all-at-lowest-price assumption."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC02",
    "finding": "Long-term potential is roughly100TWh/year across roofs, facades, agriculture, alpine and infrastructure.",
    "source_id": "pv-potential-existing",
    "locator": "Figures1,9,10;pp4,29;AppendixA1p115",
    "status": "published_potential_estimate",
    "decision": "conditional_scenario",
    "qualification": "Prose says just over100; displayed category values sum98TWh, or99using grouped roofs55instead of54. Rounded/source inconsistency preserved. Potential is not a permit or investment commitment."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC03",
    "finding": "Facade Table5 gives600annual and210winter kWh/kW but text in same table states43%winter.",
    "source_id": "pv-potential-existing",
    "locator": "Table5p38",
    "status": "verified_source_inconsistency",
    "decision": "unresolved",
    "qualification": "210/600=35%. Base uses tabulated210; sensitivity uses258. Do not silently correct the source."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC04",
    "finding": "PV reference O&M includes an allocated inverter replacement; facade capex is incremental to a conventional facade.",
    "source_id": "pv-potential-existing",
    "locator": "Table2p22;pp22,39\u201340",
    "status": "published_cost_boundary",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "Avoid adding a second inverter and avoid presenting incremental facade cost as the full building bill. Some reference VAT treatment is inconsistent with figure caption; tax basis is flagged."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC05",
    "finding": "Madrisa reports CHF70m project investment, about11MWp,17GWh/year expected and over40%winter.",
    "source_id": "madrisa-owner",
    "locator": "Facts & Figures and project FAQ",
    "status": "owner_budget_and_expected_output",
    "decision": "conditional_scenario",
    "qualification": "No final audited outturn; 20,000x580Wp implies11.6MWp rather than rounded11. No deduction of maximum possible60%public subsidy from resource cost."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC06",
    "finding": "Madrisa reports1.5GWh in October2025\u2013March2026 from slightly more than2MW operating capacity.",
    "source_id": "madrisa-winter-actual",
    "locator": "31March2026release,firstwinterparagraph",
    "status": "owner_reported_measurement",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "Partial plant, one winter, rounded power and energy; do not multiply to an audited national or full-project yield."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC07",
    "finding": "Current Grenchen owner page reports16MW,about30GWh/year,CHF34m,construction2027andoperation2029.",
    "source_id": "grenchen-owner",
    "locator": "Bekenntnis and Daten und Fakten",
    "status": "current_owner_plan_and_budget",
    "decision": "conditional_scenario",
    "qualification": "Older2025factsheet gives32GWh and2027operation. Preserve both; use current page. Not a completed plant or national wind-build availability."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC08",
    "finding": "BFE distribution-grid model: CHF45bn real investment in WWB versus75bn in ZERO Basis,2020\u20132050;35\u201339bn is existing-asset renewal across scenarios.",
    "source_id": "bfe-11205",
    "locator": "p15Table1.3",
    "status": "published_model_output",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "Includes demand electrification and replacement, not a solar surcharge. Cannot extrapolate directly to120\u2013140GW PV or add all75bn to only one portfolio."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC09",
    "finding": "Grid-oriented demand plus70%PV export peak limiting reduces modelled reinforcement needs by25\u201360%depending on network level.",
    "source_id": "bfe-11205",
    "locator": "pp11\u201313Table1.2",
    "status": "published_model_output",
    "decision": "conditional_scenario",
    "qualification": "Physical expansion needs, not automatically total cost savings. Study excludes the cost of obtaining the assumed flexibility. Voluntary owner payments still required."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC10",
    "finding": "Swissgrid plans aroundCHF5.5bn and31major transmission projects by2040.",
    "source_id": "swissgrid-2040",
    "locator": "Grid of the future in brief",
    "status": "operator_investment_plan",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "National transmission programme, not incremental cost caused by solar overbuilding."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC11",
    "finding": "IEAPVPS review reports median crystalline-silicon degradation0.5\u20130.6%/year; warns published samples may overrepresent poor systems.",
    "source_id": "iea-pvps-degradation-2017",
    "locator": "PDFp101Conclusion",
    "status": "literature_review",
    "decision": "conditional_scenario",
    "qualification": "Use0.5%as a sensitivity-grounded assumption, not a universal modern-panel warranty. EBP uses0.15%; retain both."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC12",
    "finding": "SENS advance fee funds collection, transport and recycling; source describes a pay-as-you-go funding system.",
    "source_id": "sens-pv-recycling",
    "locator": "Recycling already financed and FAQ",
    "status": "current_scheme_description",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "Not proof that professional removal, foundations or site restoration cost zero. Avoid double-counting a fee already included in procurement."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC13",
    "finding": "IEA2026describes about85%ofPVmanufacturing capacity and95%ofwafercapacity inChina, with upstreamN-1constraints.",
    "source_id": "iea-supply-2026",
    "locator": "Supply chain risks opening andN-1assessment",
    "status": "published_supply_chain_assessment",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "A large global industry exists; it does not reserve Swiss installation labour, sites or grid connections, and does not establish equipment sovereignty."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC14",
    "finding": "BFS2025annualaverageCPIincreased0.2%versus2024.",
    "source_id": "bfs-cpi-2025",
    "locator": "p1",
    "status": "official_statistic",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "Use1.002onlyas consumer-price currency-year convention forAxpo2024figures, not as nuclear construction escalation."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC15",
    "finding": "The federal MWP archive is reachable: 2249 municipal CSV files. One complete sample contains 131400 hourly data rows over 2004\u20132018.",
    "source_id": "public-hourly-pv-profiles",
    "locator": "ZIP inventory and CRC-verified BFS1001 sample schema",
    "status": "verified_data_access_and_structure",
    "decision": "action_now",
    "qualification": "Leap days absent; units and time zone are not explicit in the CSV. A national aggregate and site weights remain model work. The 19.4 GB archive was not fully downloaded."
  },
  {
    "id": "SC16",
    "finding": "Owner chronology dated 3 August 2026 reports that the appeal has suspensive effect: construction cannot begin until the Federal Supreme Court decision.",
    "source_id": "grenchen-owner",
    "locator": "Chronik, entry 03.08.26",
    "status": "owner_report_of_procedural_status",
    "decision": "conditional_scenario",
    "qualification": "Owner page checked 22 September 2026, not an independently obtained court order. The 2029 operating date remains conditional."
  }
]
